Claim: South Africa has lost half of its refining capacity in recent years
95%Based on my investigation, the claim that South Africa has lost half of its refining capacity in recent years is accurate.
Reasoning:
- Over the past five years, South Africa's refining capacity has been cut in half due to a combination of accidents and underinvestment1.
- Recent data shows that South Africa has lost around half of its refining capacity in recent years2.
- Roughly 49% of South Africa's refining capacity remains idle1.
- The Sapref Refinery, which was South Africa's largest refinery with 180,000 barrels per day capacity, suspended operations in 2022, significantly reducing domestic refining capacity21.
- Other major facilities have also been affected, including the Engen Durban Refinery (120,000 barrels per day) which has remained offline, and the Natref Refinery which has experienced intermittent disruptions12.
- Currently, only two refineries remain operational - Sasol's Secunda plant and Glencore's Astron refinery - which combined account for less than half of the country's former refining capacity1.
- As a result, South Africa now relies on imports to meet over 60% of its fuel demand1.
Overall validity: 95%