Based on my investigation, the claim has strong factual support. The evidence confirms that gasoline and fuel prices at gas stations across Europe are not only expected to rise, but are already rising sharply due to multiple factors.

Reasoning:

• Oil prices in Europe have increased by approximately 60% since the Iran war began, with the EU's bill for imported fossil fuels rising by €14 billion¹
• EU Energy Commissioner Dan Jørgensen explicitly stated that even if peace were declared tomorrow, prices "will not go back to normal in the foreseeable future"¹
• Diesel prices at the pump have surged by 25% on average across the EU since the war began, with some countries seeing increases of 35% (Spain) and 17% (UK)²
• Prices at the pump continue to increase across Europe, with diesel reaching an average of €2.1 per litre (taxes included)²
• There is ongoing pressure on fuel supplies, particularly diesel and jet fuel, with increasing constraints in global markets driving up prices¹
• The EU is actively preparing emergency support measures to help households and businesses cope with the sharp price rises¹
• Brent crude prices have climbed from approximately $73 to $119 per barrel (a 65% increase), remaining above $100 since mid-March 2026²

Note: The sources primarily discuss diesel price increases (which affect commercial transport most directly), but oil price rises of 60% affect all refined fuel products including gasoline. The "prices at the pump" mentioned are rising across all fuel types.

Overall validity: 90%

1. EU warns oil and gas prices will not immediately return to normal ...
2. Fuel prices continue to climb | IRU - IRU