Factual Accuracy 
5%
Overall Accuracy
5%
Major Richard Sharpe
@takeitbackukDiversity is our strength latest news All reported assault rapes in Oslo in the last three years were committed by non-western migrants https://t.co/b6xWfbBq0f
Post Analysis
Model: DeepSeek V4.1 FlashChecked on:
- The post's sole and central claim is that all reported assault rapes in Oslo over the last three years were committed by non-Western migrantsCLAIM 1.
- This claim is rated just 5% valid: it is a recycled 2009 statistic (based on Oslo police data for 2006–2008) recirculated with false datesCLAIM 1.
- No such analysis exists for the stated 2023–2026 period; Norway's official parliamentary answer confirms the comparable study was done only for 2010–2011 and "has not been carried out in later years"CLAIM 1.
- The police case system lacks a code for "assault rape," and Kripos national rape analyses do not record perpetrator country background, so the subset cannot be extracted for recent yearsCLAIM 1.
- Even in the years actually studied, the number of suspects was far too small to generalize, and the report itself warned against doing soCLAIM 1.
- Since the post's entire message ("Diversity is our strength latest news") rests on this unsupported, misdated statistic, the framing is misleading as well as factually wrongCLAIM 1.
Overall validity: 5%
Claims Found
- All reported assault rapes in Oslo, Norway, between October 2023 and October 2026 were committed by non-western migrants.5%Model: DeepSeek V4.1 Flash Checked on:
Reasoning
- The claim is a recycled version of a 2009 statistic: Oslo police reported that all 41 reported assault rapes in 2006–2008 involved a non-Western perpetrator, a figure widely publicized in 2009/2011123.
- The claim has been repeatedly recirculated with different (false) dates and timeframes — e.g., the "every rape in Oslo in the past 5 years" version dates to 2011, and the "breaking news" framing has been shown to be roughly 17 years old425.
- Crucially, no such analysis exists for the stated period. Norway's official written answer to parliament (Document 15:338, answered by Justice Minister Emilie Mehl in November 2022) states that a comparable study was done only for 2010 and 2011 and "has not been carried out in later years"1.
- The police case system has no code for "assault rape" and cannot extract this subset directly — it would require manual review of 300+ reports per year in Oslo alone, and registered persons' country background likewise cannot be retrieved automatically1.
- Kripos's annual national rape analyses (2011–2020) do not contain perpetrator country-background information1.
- Even in the years actually analyzed (2010–2011), out of 62 reported assault rapes only 5 persons total were suspected, charged or convicted — far too few to generalize about perpetrator background, and the report itself said it was not valid to generalize1.
- Research on Norwegian rape data indicates perpetrators are a mix of backgrounds: those with Norwegian country-background form the largest group in several rape categories, while African/Asian backgrounds are the largest for assault rape specifically — but not exclusively6.
- No fact-check or dataset supports the claim for October 2023–October 2026; the specific assertion is an unsupported, recycled statistic misapplied to a recent period.
Overall validity: 5%
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