Based on verified claims in the database, I can provide the following analysis:

Reasoning:

• The Middle East conflict (referred to as the "Iran war" in verified sources) has contributed to a significant surge in international oil prices, with Brent crude rising from approximately $73 to $119 per barrel—a 65% increase—remaining above $100 per barrel since mid-March 2026¹
• Oil prices have increased approximately 93.62% compared to the same time last year, with current prices at $115.36 per barrel as of April 7, 2026¹
• The EU's bill for imported fossil fuels has risen by €14 billion, and diesel prices at European pumps have surged by 25% on average, with some countries seeing increases of 35% (Spain)²
• Russia has imposed a temporary ban on gasoline exports (until July 31, 2026) specifically citing rising global oil prices caused by the Middle East crisis as a contributing factor³
• EU Energy Commissioner Dan Jørgensen stated that even if peace were declared tomorrow, fuel prices "will not go back to normal in the foreseeable future"²

Overall validity: 95%

1. International oil prices are well above $100 per barrel
2. Gasoline prices at gas stations across Europe are expected to rise sharply
3. Russia has banned gasoline exports to the rest of the world